Nvidia Earnings Here
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Good morning, traders.
We’re seeing a bit of a "calm before the storm" vibe this Wednesday.
After a solid tech rotation yesterday, futures are mostly flat, though the Nasdaq is edging up 0.2% as everyone shifts their focus to the main event: Nvidia earnings after the bell. This report is the ultimate litmus test for the AI trade, and with Salesforce and Snowflake also on deck, the tech tape is going to be electric.
On the macro side, we’re still digesting last night’s State of the Union. Trump stayed aggressive, pushing back against the Supreme Court while doubling down on his global tariff agenda.
With the 10% levy now in effect and threats of it hitting 15%, the trade war noise is getting louder. Combine that with the simmering US-Iran tensions, and you’ve got a lot of geopolitical risk to manage.
My advice? Don't get chopped up in the midday noise. Wait for the Nvidia numbers to provide the real direction.
Following the close, Cryptopolitan is tracking the fallout as Nvidia tries to hit a massive $65.7 billion revenue target.
With Blackwell demand reportedly sky-high and rumors of a $30 billion OpenAI investment swirling, you can follow the live update here to see if the AI king can keep the crown.
📈🇺🇸 Futures Rise as Trump Talks Inflation
Donald Trump’s speech lifted sentiment as Nasdaq futures rose 0.1%, S&P 500 0.07%, and Dow nearly 0.1%. Markets now turn to Nvidia earnings for the real test.
🤖 Nvidia’s Most-Watched Earnings Arrive
Nvidia reports Q4 results ahead of its GTC 2026 event, the most anticipated earnings of the season. Investors are watching AI spending and valuations closely.
⚡ Bitcoin Tops $66K, Then Pulls Back
Bitcoin jumped 3.5% before easing to about $65,500 during Trump’s speech. Ether also climbed 2.5% to around $1,906.
🚀 NVDA Hits $192.85 but ‘False Breakout’ Warning
Nvidia stock rose 0.7% to $192.85, marking a 2026 high. With Nvidia making up ~8% of the S&P 500, its earnings could swing the whole market.
📈 Asia Stocks Climb on AI Optimism
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1% as traders awaited Trump’s speech. Improved AI sentiment lifted regional markets.
💳 PayPal Surges on Buyout Rumors
PayPal jumped nearly 7% after reports that Stripe is exploring an acquisition. Talks are early, but traders are excited.
📊 Oil Near 7-Month Highs Before Iran Talks
Brent crude hovered around $71.22, up 0.64%, as U.S.–Iran tensions kept supply fears alive. Markets are watching Thursday’s talks closely.
The Market Punishes Greed, Not Caution
Most traders focus on how much they can make. Bigger targets. Bigger position sizes. Bigger wins. It feels exciting.
But the market doesn’t reward excitement. It rewards control.
Greed shows up quietly. You move your stop loss further away. You risk more because the setup “looks good.” You hold longer because you want extra profit. One decision turns a normal trade into unnecessary damage.
Strong traders think about risk first. Before they enter, they know exactly how much they are willing to lose. The downside is defined. The reward is planned. Nothing is left to emotion.
Caution is not weakness. It’s protection. When you respect risk, you survive long enough to grow. When you chase rewards without thinking about the downside, the market eventually corrects you.
Protect first. Profit second.
If you want trading guidance that constantly reinforces smart risk management instead of hype and greed, these newsletters help. They focus on structured thinking, clear risk-to-reward planning, and long-term consistency.
Dragonfly Doji
The Dragonfly Doji is a specific type of Doji where the open, high, and close are all at the same level at the very top of the candle. It features a long lower wick and no upper wick, looking like a "T."
This pattern tells a story of aggressive rejection: sellers tried to drive the price into the ground, but by the end of the session, bulls fought back so hard they pushed the price all the way back to the starting point.
🛠️ The Strategy Logic
Use these logical triggers to identify when a "floor" has been established and sellers are being liquidated:
- IF: The Dragonfly Doji forms at the bottom of a downtrend or near the Lower Keltner Channel...
- THEN: It is a high-conviction bullish reversal signal. The long lower wick proves that the market has found a level where buyers are willing to step in with massive force.
- THEN: It is a high-conviction bullish reversal signal. The long lower wick proves that the market has found a level where buyers are willing to step in with massive force.
- IF: The next candle closes above the high of the Dragonfly Doji...
- THEN: The reversal is confirmed. This "breakout" confirms that the momentum shift seen in the lower wick has actual staying power, making it a safer point for a long entry.
- THEN: The reversal is confirmed. This "breakout" confirms that the momentum shift seen in the lower wick has actual staying power, making it a safer point for a long entry.
- IF: The Dragonfly Doji forms at the top of an uptrend...
- THEN: Proceed with extreme caution. While usually bullish, at a market peak, it can signal that the "floor" is being tested and the trend is becoming fragile. Wait for a confirmation candle before making a move.
- THEN: Proceed with extreme caution. While usually bullish, at a market peak, it can signal that the "floor" is being tested and the trend is becoming fragile. Wait for a confirmation candle before making a move.
- IF: The Dragonfly Doji appears with a massive spike in the Volume Oscillator...
- THEN: You are likely looking at a "Selling Climax." This suggests that the final bears have been "washed out" and the big institutional players have absorbed all the sell orders.
- THEN: You are likely looking at a "Selling Climax." This suggests that the final bears have been "washed out" and the big institutional players have absorbed all the sell orders.
- IF: The lower wick is exceptionally long compared to previous candles...
- THEN: The support at those lower levels is "Ironclad." The longer the wick, the more violent the rejection, and typically, the more explosive the resulting move to the upside.
💡 Pro Tip
The "Stop-Loss" Secret: The beauty of the Dragonfly Doji is that it gives you a very clear mathematical boundary for your trade. Because the bottom of that long wick represents the point where the bears completely failed, it serves as the ultimate "line in the sand." Always place your stop-loss just a few ticks below the tip of the Dragonfly's tail. If the price breaks back below that wick, the "rejection" has failed, and the downtrend is likely to resume with even more force.
The News Dopamine Addiction
You tell yourself you’re staying informed.
One more refresh. One more headline. One more “breaking.”
It feels productive.
But most of the time?
It’s just dopamine dressed up as discipline.
HEADLINES CREATE URGENCY.
URGENCY DESTROYS PATIENCE.
Markets move in narratives — but traders get trapped in noise. Every alert feels actionable. Every analyst sounds confident. Every tweet hints at a shift.
So you keep scanning. Refreshing. Absorbing.
And the more you consume, the less you execute.
Clarity dies when your brain is overloaded.
You stop trading your plan and start reacting to sentiment. You hesitate on clean setups because a headline said something “uncertain.”
You jump into messy trades because a commentator sounded convinced.
Information is not edge. Interpretation is.
Professional traders don’t trade more because there’s more news. They trade their levels.
Their system. Their structure.
Try this:
Set specific news windows. Pre-market. Post-close.
That’s it.During trading hours? Charts over chatter.
If a headline truly matters, price will reflect it.
The market doesn’t reward the most informed.
It rewards the most disciplined.
Are you trading your plan — or your notifications?
