Inflation Ahead

Good morning!

It’s been a tough week to trade with confidence - Powell’s tone changed, Trump’s words rattled the market, and inflation fears are creeping back in.

The cautious rally we saw earlier?

Gone.

Now we’re looking at falling stocks, surging oil, and rising tension in the Middle East.

If you’ve been wondering what just happened or more importantly, what could happen next - the crucial updates section brings to you the articles that break it all down.

Let’s get into it.

👨 Powell Hits Pause on Cuts as Tariffs Stoke Inflation Fears
Wall Street’s cautious rally fizzled Wednesday as Powell confirmed what traders feared: inflation isn’t done yet, and tariffs could fan the flames. With Middle East tensions simmering, the Fed’s message was clear—don’t expect fast relief.

💥 Stocks Sink, Oil Surges: Trump’s War Tease Rattles Investors
Trump hints at joining Israel’s Iran strikes—markets recoil. Global stocks dropped for a third straight day while oil jumped 11% on the week, as traders braced for a full-blown regional conflict that could slam growth and inflame inflation.

💸 Investors to Selloff If  U.S. Strike on Iran
Stocks are teetering. Oil is surging. And Trump’s next move could be the trigger. With Wall Street near all-time highs, investors are jittery that U.S. military involvement in Iran could unleash a wave of inflation, tank equities, and shatter fragile global growth.

🔝 Bitcoin Stays Above $100K Despite Fed Warnings
Rates are high. Inflation is rising. Crypto should be crashing. Instead, Bitcoin held firm - buoyed by Washington’s first major crypto bill. As the GENIUS Act inches closer to law, it's giving Bitcoin bulls something they haven’t had in months: policy momentum.

📉 Asia Sinks as Middle East Conflict Spooks Markets, Fed Offers Little Relief
Trump’s threat to join Israel’s war with Iran sent Asian shares sliding. While the Fed hinted at rate cuts, Powell’s “foggy forecast” and rising oil prices kept investors uneasy. From Tokyo to Hong Kong, the risk-off mood was loud and clear.

🏃 Foreign Money Is Fleeing Because of Trump's Tariff War
18% of the U.S. stock market is held by foreigners—and they’re pulling back. Apollo warns that slashing the trade deficit means fewer dollars recycling into U.S. equities. If Trump closes the door on imports, he may also close the door on inflows.

📈 Gold Rises as War Fears Mount - but the Fed Keeps a Lid on Gains
Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand, but Powell isn’t playing ball. With Tehran on edge and U.S. warships repositioning, gold pushed higher—just not enough to break out. Why? The Fed’s still wary of inflation and not ready to cut aggressively.

No New Trades Today – The Charts Need to Breathe

Took a full scan of the market today.

And guess what? 

Nothing clean. Nothing clear. Nothing we’d put real money on.

Some setups are forming, but they’re not ready yet.

And we don’t chase half-baked moves.

So today, we hold.

Because sometimes the smartest trade… is no trade at all. 🎯

Update you soon!

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Morning Star

The Morning Star is a three-candlestick bullish reversal pattern that appears at the bottom of a downtrend.

It signals a strong shift from selling pressure to buying control, indicating that a bullish reversal is likely.

What to Look For:

• Three Candlesticks: The pattern is composed of three distinct candles.
  
  
• First Candle (Bearish): A long bearish (red or black) candle, confirming the existing downtrend.
  
  
• Second Candle (Small Body/Doji): A small-bodied candle (either bullish or bearish, or a Doji) that gaps down from the first candle. This candle signifies indecision and a potential exhaustion of the sellers. Its color doesn't matter as much as its small body and the gap.
  
  
• Third Candle (Bullish): A long bullish (green or white) candle that gaps up from the second candle and closes well into the body of the first bearish candle. This candle confirms that buyers have taken control and reversed the sentiment.
  
  
• Appearance After a Downtrend: For the pattern to be a valid reversal signal, it must appear at the end of a clear downtrend.
  
  
• Volume: Ideally, volume should be light on the second candle (indecision) and significantly increase on the third bullish candle (confirmation of buying pressure).
  
  
• Confirmation: While a strong signal, additional confirmation from subsequent price action (e.g., another strong bullish day) can strengthen its reliability.

You're Not In Their Lane

Every day, traders wake up and check what everyone else is doing.

Not their plan.

Not their setup.

Not their journal. Someone else’s chart.

They scroll, they stalk, they screenshot: “Why’s he still using indicators?” “Why’s she buying that breakout?” “Why isn’t he shorting here?”

As if any of that changes their own results.

Let me say it clearly: You don’t get paid for knowing what they did. You get paid for executing your edge.

But instead, you're busy collecting opinions like they’re entries.

Changing strategies like socks.

Doubting your method every time you see someone else win.

It’s chaos. It’s noise. And it’s killing your growth.

Truth is, most people aren’t even trading — they’re spectating.

Loud in group chats, silent in execution.

Quick to critique, slow to journal.

Masters of market gossip, but ghosts when it’s time to click “buy.”

Here’s the part you need to hear: Nobody's setup ever ruined your trade.

What ruined it was hesitation.

Overthinking. Distraction.

Looking at someone else’s lane while swerving off your own.

You want to grow?

Mute the crowd. Unfollow the drama.

Stop asking “Why them?” and start asking “Where’s my focus?”

Trading is war. And your enemy isn’t another trader.

It’s your own lack of discipline.

So ask yourself today:

• Did I follow my rules?
• Am I tracking my progress?
• Or am I just scrolling, comparing, pretending I’m working?

Cut the noise.

Respect your strategy.

And build something that doesn’t shake every time someone else posts profit.

No more excuses.

No more looking sideways.

The real work?

It’s done in silence.